Understanding Pathways between Diagnostic Route and Cancer Survival

  • Research type

    Research Study

  • Full title

    Understanding Pathways between Diagnostic Route and Cancer Survival

  • IRAS ID

    263493

  • Contact name

    Linda Sharp

  • Contact email

    linda.sharp@ncl.ac.uk

  • Sponsor organisation

    Newcastle University

  • Duration of Study in the UK

    2 years, 5 months, 31 days

  • Research summary

    Background: Survival rates for many cancers are lower in the UK than in other countries. This may be partly due to late diagnosis. Initiatives to address this have been introduced, including the urgent referral route to diagnosis (RTD) (i.e. “2-week wait pathway”). In the UK, RTD - the route a cancer patient follows to the point of diagnosis - predicts their subsequent survival. However, we do not understand how RTD influences survival: for example, does it affect survival directly or through other factors, such as cancer stage and treatment? This project will investigate these “mechanisms”.
    Aims: We aim to: further develop a novel statistical method for analysis of cancer survival; and use this to investigate how RTD affects survival.
    Methods: We have developed a novel method for analysing survival which allows mechanisms to be investigated. In phase 1, we will refine the method, so that it is more robust and better accomodates important features of cancer data. In phase 2, we will analyse RTD and survival for breast, prostate, colorectal and lung cancers diagnosed in England since 2006. For each cancer, we will develop a theory of how 2-week wait and other major diagnostic routes (such as emergency presentation) influence survival, using literature, and PPI and clinical input. We will test these theories using our statistical method.
    How the results will be used: The findings will be able to inform policy by suggesting the types of service changes that might be needed to improve cancer survival in the UK.

  • REC name

    North West - Greater Manchester West Research Ethics Committee

  • REC reference

    19/NW/0370

  • Date of REC Opinion

    13 Jun 2019

  • REC opinion

    Favourable Opinion