The impact of COVID-19 on future cancer mortality rates

  • Research type

    Research Study

  • Full title

    The impact of COVID-19 on future cancer mortality rates

  • IRAS ID

    295270

  • Contact name

    Andrew Cairns

  • Contact email

    A.J.G.Cairns@hw.ac.uk

  • Sponsor organisation

    Heriot-Watt University

  • Duration of Study in the UK

    0 years, 11 months, 31 days

  • Research summary

    This study concerns the analysis of (rapid) cancer registrations, requested from Public Health England (PHE), for different deprivation groups in nine regions of England, also by age and gender, before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. A variable, namely average age-at-diagnosis, that can reflect delays in cancer diagnosis due to national lockdown, will be derived. Recently, based on comprehensive statistical modelling, we found that a small-to-moderate delay in average cancer diagnosis can result in a significant increase in mortality for certain cancer types. We intend to apply a similar modelling framework, by linking rapid cancer registration numbers with our available cancer mortality data, in order to estimate excess number of cancer deaths due to late diagnosis in 2020.

  • REC name

    Yorkshire & The Humber - Leeds West Research Ethics Committee

  • REC reference

    21/YH/0101

  • Date of REC Opinion

    22 Apr 2021

  • REC opinion

    Favourable Opinion